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My Musings on the Coronavirus (Covid-19)

I’ve been in Chiang Mai, Northern Thailand since right before public knowledge. At the time, it was just prior to Chinese New Year and there were tens of thousands of Chinese tourists here. Yet, I’ve never been concerned about it and to my mind, the only truly new strain of “virus” is a confluence of three general things:

  1. A fully developed Internet and its chief manifestation, social media
  2. The global, politicized leftist/socialist media
  3. Trump Derangement Syndrome

The last big thing of this type was the 2009/10 swine flu, which infected an estimated 1 billion people globally and killed upwards of a half million. Of course, this new gig is infecting and killing people too, and it’s still early, relatively.

But in no way does it justify the literal absurd hysteria we’re seeing on a global scale, and I attribute this to items 1, 2, and 3, above. I’ve never seen anything like it. People young and old seemingly have no memories or learned experiences anymore, beyond their quotidian social “news” feeds. Each day is a new day of ridiculous information, and nothing else matters. There’s no past—that’s way down the feed—only what’s coming out now. Quick, update the feed.

It’s all a stark manifestation of Trump Derangement Syndrome, where no cost is too great to purge the planet of this non-politician who doesn’t necessarily march to conventional entrenched political-party norms. The entire world hates him as the disruptor he is, and are apparently willing to endure any hardship, including job and business loss, to create realities of hardship and foreboding that don’t exist.

Compare it to the non-hysteria of 2009/10, when social media was just ramping up to be a significant part of everyday life for almost everyone, young and old. Plus, Black Jesus was president, and that’s a boat that could never be rocked, even had that virus taken the lives of a billion, or more.

Praise Black Jesus.

When it all came out, I looked at CDC info. The estimate was for an overall death rate of about 3%. That’s greater than influenza, but it’s also an early estimate. Also, the prediction was that it would take the old and sick, infants without developed immune systems, and the otherwise severely immunocompromised—pretty much like everything else. And that’s how it’s panning out. Even with the worst estimates I’ve seen of a mortality rate of 27% for those over 80, that means that 73% kick its ass, albeit under great discomfort.

But if you look at this thing by age breakdown, you see that for the healthy and young, under 40, it’s a 99.99% in dealing it an ass kicking.

Yet looking around, it’s the young and dumb who seem to be the most hysterical and cautious. Why? Because social media has created a 24/7 world of Virtue Signaling Olympics—each displaying more faux concern, thoughtfulness, caring, circumspection, deliberation, and caution than the rest. And it goes on from there, such that there’s nothing really new to say, so it becomes comment threads that are 90% “me too,” a bizarre menagerie of the banal and the boring—faux virtue signaling faux virtue. And the only offset anymore is not counter-balancing rational judgment, but faux outrage at anything that goes against the prescribed faux virtue.

What a fucking mess. And everyone is full of shit.

Fortunately, there still exists deliberate sobriety and rationality.

Corona Is Slowing Down, Humanity Will Survive, Says Biophysicist Michael Levitt

But then, the trend changed. When Levitt started analyzing the data on February 1, Hubei had 1,800 new cases each day and within six days this number reached 4,700, he said. “And then, on February 7, the number of new infections started to drop linearly and did not stop. A week later, the same happened with the number of the deaths. This dramatic change in the curve marked the median point and enabled better prediction of when the pandemic will end. Based on that, I concluded that the situation in all of China will improve within two weeks. And, indeed, now there are very few new infection cases.”,7340,L-3800632,00.html

Ironically, I began seeing this around the same time with my layman, dot-connecting eyes. I noted that the lame media generally only reports 2 data points: infections and deaths (because initially, both grow in exponential manner and this serves the scaremongering agenda). When I noted this around that time, I went looking for the other data point: recoveries. That grows exponentially as well, but goes counter to the scarative, so it’s not often reported.

At the time, as I recall, there were about 11,000 infections in China, 500 deaths, and 500 recoveries. So, death and recovery were 1 for 1. A week later? Deaths had grown a little, but recoveries had grown by a factor of more than 10, such that recoveries now outpaced deaths by 10 to 1. And it’s far greater now and will continue.

So that’s about all. For what good it will do.

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