In the never-ending diet and health antagonism, it happens that researchers, clinicians, and various advocates trend toward “specialization” in a favorite cause of death. For diet and health, various forms of heart and vascular disease seem to prevail.
Thus, it becomes the hammer to which everything is then its nail.
You know the drill. Fat clogs your arteries, or, red meat causes cancer, ad nauseum. And so on. The problem is, in large observational studies based on dietary questionnaires and advice, in the end, you end up with about 6 deaths here to a half-dozen elsewhere, of any cause.
So, you have the advocates touting that their particular dietary intervention “lowered CVD deaths.” Yea, maybe, but cancer deaths were higher, and total death was about the same. More or less life eventually ends in more or fewer deaths, period.
Since I and others are all but too familiar with these tricks of the trade, I have been anticipating at least preliminary figures for all-cause mortality, now that year-2020—with any luck—has died and gone to the big calendar in the sky.
Actually, my long time acquaintance and commenter here often, back in the day, Ned Kock, has gathered the numbers. He’s a math and science geek with degrees, in case you’re wondering.
Has COVID led to an increase in all–cause mortality? A look at US data from 2015 to 2020
It’s a short post you can read in 3 minutes, tops, so I encourage you to give him the traffic. Just a primer.
Briefly, the trend upward in total deaths per 1,000 of population from roughly 8.4 to 8.8, 2015 – 2020, tracks with the increasing average age of the population, which is also increasing in absolute terms. In other words, the same explanation that has prevailed every year prevails for 2020 as well.
The green line is the more interesting, representing the increase in total deaths over the previous year which, nominally, is a function of both increasing total population and advances in longevity (average lifespan). A downward trend means: population increased by less percentage than previous years, and/or average age of death increased, and/or people are on average a little more healthy or medicine and surgery is a bit better. It’s likely some combination of all three.
But, what it utterly and completely falsifies is the notion that Covid was anything at all in-particular in 2020. Simple. Plain. Fact. Choke on it. 1.27% more deaths in 2015 from 2014, trending downward to 1.12% more deaths in 2019 over 2018, and the same 1.12% 2020 over 2019. Suck on it.
Another Item
As I was tracking all-cause mortality over the course of the year as data was coming in, I knew by summer that by end of the year there would be little, if any “excess death,” which would suggest there was really something up with Covid that’s more profound than the average death from respiratory illnesses annually. Never mind that according to the WHO database, there have been about zero deaths worldwide from influenza from April 2020 (scroll to the charts at the bottom, and yes, you can check the database yourself).
But, since there were lockdowns and closures of a massive number of things, I thought it might turn out that lockdowns save net lives because jail cells are relatively safe. They protect you and keep you safe from that nefarious and scary thing called life. Surely, traffic incidents, minimally.
But, looks like a 6 or a half-dozen thing on the large. So what might explain part of the offset?
So, apparently, Covid still got plenty of folks, though indirectly. My guess would be suicide and overdose, all in the context of an indoor, sedentary, depressing, locked-up “lifestyle.”
I have had to exercise undue restraint in writing this post. You know what I mean.
Go to the macrotrends website:
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/death-rate
There, you will notice a red box:
“NOTE: All 2020 and later data are UN projections and DO NOT include any impacts of the COVID-19 virus.”
Your article is completely wrong.
Suck on it.
“Your article is completely wrong.”
And you base that, not on anything but an absense of data.
You didn’t say something like, “maybe this is premature, maybe you’re right, or wrong. Let’s wait and see for sure.” I’d have granted that.
Or, something along the lines of “it will be interesting to see how total death compares to the well-known very bad flu years interspersed throughout history every couple of decades or so.”
But you didn’t.
Nobody need wonder why you were not approaching this honestly.
And notice further: “IMPACTS”
What does that MEAN? Does it mean that total deaths have not yet been fully tabulated (easy to say explicitly), does it mean mostly, and everything lines up with projections, or, does it mean that total death has been tabulated and since it’s hard to figure out how to SPIN the IMPACT of Covid on a nothing burger, they’ll justy toss up a disclaimer for the benefit of #CovidFanPussies like you?
Good article.
Anthony Colpo has a new article about how this vaccine has been killing people all over the place.
https://www.anthonycolpo.com/pfizer-biontech-covid-19-vaccine-the-life-saving-drug-that-seems-to-be-killing-people
We are literally witnessing the greatest evil the biggest psychological operation/experiment and depopulation effort ever in the history of human beings on this planet right now- it is worldwide by these bastard globalists. I encourage everybody to spread your site and Colpo’s as far as possible everywhere. The world needs to see this con and RESIST with all of their might. . Fauci , numerous governors, and Gates ( gates has a depopualtion fetish and a vaccine fetish -he is a psycho) should be behind bards for the rest of their lives. I just wanted to type this before I have to leave for work maskLESS.
P.S. These psychopaths behind vaccines LACED their tetanus vaccine with anti-fertility drug. Dr. Carrie Nadej had SEEN this COMING from meeting she had- scientific meetings in 2014 when these disturbing “doctors” put forth ideas about how to deal with population increases. I’m SO glad she is honest and spoke out. KUDOS to Dr. Carrie Madej, an internist medical doctor. Kudos to Dr Simone Gold, too, who the fascist THUGS bullied. The WORLD needs to know about these sick bastards.
https://stateofthenation.co/?p=35589
If the video doe snot work then DuckDuckGo search “stateofthenation critical covid videos”
It even got Hank Aaron!
86 yrs old, so maybe not the best example. But otherwise healthy, gets the jabs, drops dead two weeks later…
A good friend recently got a vaccine shot because the nursing home wanted to ensure when he visited his mom that he was vaccinated. 2 days later he had a fever and the next day he tested positive for Covid. The fever subsided and he developed a sore throat. All in all he was down less than a week.
We discussed what he was going to do next and he said he would get his 2nd shot and continue to wear a mask. He said he doesn’t want to get it again or pass it on to someone else. He said the guilt would be too much for him.
Richard what do you say to people who think people are being selfish for not wearing masks or wanting to get vaccinated? I am the type that says worry about yourself. It really bothers me and I don’t have an answer.
Typically, I tell them to fuck off, they’re too stupid for me, that I try to never cast pearls before swine, and that they’re dismissed.
Question Uncle Rick, is the data for the main graph global or just the US?
Just US. But, I will be looking at other countries as well, particularly Thailand where I live. I suspect there may be some countries (Italy, spain, maybe) that may have experienced outlier “excess death” in total, all-cause, but I highly doubt that those won’t be offset by other countries that had less than expected. In the whole, globally, I’m confident it will prove to be a big wank.
flu is down because the same precautions used to avoid covid will reduce the transmission of flu. i’m not sure but i think highway deaths are down because driving is down. [but at least at first there was increase in speeding tickets for people going over 100mph- highways were empty]. i don’t have the information handy to disaggregate other causes of death. so the fact that all-cause mortality didn’t go up doesn’t mean that covid doesn’t cause morbidity and mortality.
the best measure of covid’s effects, imo, are hospitalizations and icu occupancy. [case numbers are too dependent on testing regimes.] when you have refrigerator trucks parked behind hospitals [and i’ve seen and heard them], being used as temporary morgues, you know something unusual is going on.
You get to swallow as much Kool Aid as you like.